Scientist pinpoint temperature that human body can't survive

Pasadena, California - Scientists have identified the maximum mix of heat and humidity a human body can survive – and the answer is a surprisingly low number.

The human body cannot endure prolonged exposure to temperatures of 95 degrees Fahrenheit or above, at 100% humidity.
The human body cannot endure prolonged exposure to temperatures of 95 degrees Fahrenheit or above, at 100% humidity.  © 123RF/vladischern

Even a healthy young person will die after enduring six hours of 95 degrees Fahrenheit warmth when coupled with 100% humidity, but new research shows that threshold could be significantly lower.

At this point sweat – the body's main tool for bringing down its core temperature – no longer evaporates off the skin, eventually leading to heatstroke, organ failure and death.

This critical limit, which occurs at 95 degrees of what is known "wet bulb temperature", has only been breached around a dozen times, mostly in South Asia and the Persian Gulf, Colin Raymond of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory told AFP.

None of those instances lasted more than two hours, meaning there have never been any "mass mortality events" linked to this limit of human survival, said Raymond, who led a major study on the subject.

Extreme heat dangerous at even lower humidity

A thermal camera shows the scale of the recent scorching heatwave in Phoenix, Arizona.
A thermal camera shows the scale of the recent scorching heatwave in Phoenix, Arizona.  © REUTERS

But extreme heat does not need to be anywhere near that level to kill people, and everyone has a different threshold depending on their age, health, and other social and economic factors, experts say.

For example, more than 61,000 people are estimated to have died due to the heat last summer in Europe, where there is rarely enough humidity to create dangerous wet bulb temperatures.

As global temperatures rise – last month was confirmed on Tuesday as the hottest in recorded history – scientists warn that dangerous wet bulb events will also become more common. Cities all over the US southwest have broken the record for consecutive days of 110+ degree temperatures.

The frequency of such events has at least doubled over the last 40 years, Raymond said, calling the increase a serious hazard of human-caused climate change.

Raymond's research projected that wet bulb temperatures will "regularly exceed" 95 degrees at several points around the world in the coming decades if the world warms 2.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels.

Dangerous temperatures can turn deadly in just hours

Temperatures as low as 87 degrees can become deadly in just five to seven hours when coupled with 100% humidity.
Temperatures as low as 87 degrees can become deadly in just five to seven hours when coupled with 100% humidity.  © REUTERS

Though now mostly calculated using heat and humidity readings, wet bulb temperature was originally measured by putting a wet cloth over a thermometer and exposing it to the air.

This allowed it to measure how quickly the water evaporated off the cloth, representing sweat off of skin.

The theorized human survival limit was set at 95 degrees of dry heat as well as 100% humidity – or 115 degrees at 50% humidity.

To test this limit, researchers at Pennsylvania State University in the United States measured the core temperatures of young, healthy people inside a heat chamber.

They found that participants reached their "critical environmental limit" – when their body could not stop their core temperature from continuing to rise – at 87 degrees wet bulb temperature, well below the previously-postulated 95.

The team estimated that it would take five to seven hours before such conditions would reach "really, really dangerous core temperatures," Daniel Vecellio, who worked on the research, told AFP.

Impacts of climate change will affect vulnerable people the most

The world's oceans hit an all-time high temperature in July, while high water temperatures in Florida are threatening coral reefs.
The world's oceans hit an all-time high temperature in July, while high water temperatures in Florida are threatening coral reefs.  © REUTERS

Joy Monteiro, a researcher in India who last month published a study in Nature looking at wet bulb temperatures in South Asia, said that most deadly heatwaves in the region were well below the 95-degree wet bulb threshold.

Any such limits on human endurance are "wildly different for different people," he told AFP.

"We don't live in a vacuum – especially children," said Ayesha Kadir, a pediatrician in the UK and health advisor at Save the Children.

Small children are less able to regulate their body temperature, putting them at greater risk, she said.

Older people, who have fewer sweat glands, are the most vulnerable.

"Like a lot of impacts of climate change, it is the people who are least able to insulate themselves from these extremes who will be suffering the most," Raymond said.

His research has shown that El Niño weather phenomena have pushed up wet bulb temperatures in the past. The first El Niño event in four years is expected to peak towards the end of this year.

Wet bulb temperatures are also closely linked to ocean surface temperatures, Raymond said.

The world's oceans hit an all-time high temperature last month, beating the previous 2016 record, according to the European Union's climate observatory.

Cover photo: 123RF/vladischern

More on Science: