This is how close Trump and Biden are running in 2024, according to a new poll

New York, New York - Former US president Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden are locked in a neck-and-neck race for the White House in 2024, a new poll revealed.

President Joe Biden is seeking a second term in office after defeating Donald Trump in the 2020 election.
President Joe Biden is seeking a second term in office after defeating Donald Trump in the 2020 election.  © REUTERS

Despite Trump’s deepening legal woes, voters are split right down the middle in a rematch of the 2020 race with 43% supporting each candidate, according to a new Siena College/New York Times poll released Tuesday.

In a glimmer of good news for Democrats, the 14% of voters who don’t support either candidate seem to lean fairly strongly to Biden.

The president opens up a narrow 2% overall lead in the poll when those so-called "double hater" voters are allocated based on whom they say they voted for last time. Biden holds a similar advantage if the poll is only limited to those who actually voted in either 2020 or 2022.

Lauren Boebert and Trump Jr. team up for "Freedom Rally" to woo MAGA voters
Lauren Boebert Lauren Boebert and Trump Jr. team up for "Freedom Rally" to woo MAGA voters

Biden beat Trump by 4.5% in 2020, or about 7 million votes.

But that popular vote victory translated into a razor-thin margin in battleground states like Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia that forged his win in the electoral college, suggesting the poll’s margin could lead to another extreme nail biter.

Donald Trump's polling numbers have not been much affected by his criminal charges, data show.
Donald Trump's polling numbers have not been much affected by his criminal charges, data show.  © REUTERS

The poll shows Biden is consolidating support among Democrats, many of whom once hoped he would hand over the baton to a younger, more dynamic figure.

Another sign of potential upside for Biden is that young voters, who overwhelmingly hold liberal views on issues like abortion rights, are still on the fence.

Trump, on the other hand, has maintained an enduring strength despite becoming the first former president to be criminally charged.

Biden campaigns up a storm as hush money trial keeps Trump tied up
Joe Biden Biden campaigns up a storm as hush money trial keeps Trump tied up

The poll shows virtually no drop off among voters who supported him in 2020 and very little decline among Republicans. He has maintained his base of support among white male voters without a college degree while modestly improving his performance among low-income and minority voters, particularly Latinos, the poll showed.

The poll also showed Biden holding only a narrow 41%-to-38% lead among Latinos, a number that would represent a dramatic decline from the approximately 2-1 margin Biden won by in 2020.

That could be a hopeful sign for Biden as analysts believe most of those voters will eventually return to the Democratic fold.

Cover photo: Collage: REUTERS

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